PESI score | Risk class | 30-day mortality |
---|---|---|
≤ 65 | Class I (very low risk) | 0-1.6% |
66–85 | Class II (low risk) | 1.7-3.5% |
86–105 | Class III (intermediate risk) | 3.2-7.1% |
106–125 | Class IV (high risk) | 4.0-11.4% |
> 125 | Class V (very high risk) | 10.0-24.5% |
Pulmonary embolism (PE) is a potentially life-threatening cardiovascular emergency that requires prompt diagnosis and risk stratification to guide appropriate management. The Pulmonary Embolism Severity Index (PESI) is one of the most extensively validated clinical prediction rules for risk assessment in patients with acute pulmonary embolism.
The PESI score is a clinical prognostic tool designed to estimate the 30-day mortality risk in patients with acute pulmonary embolism. Developed by Aujesky and colleagues in 2005, it uses 11 clinical variables that are readily available at the time of presentation to classify patients into five risk categories with progressively higher mortality rates.
The PESI score is calculated by summing the patient's age in years and points assigned to specific clinical findings. The total score determines the risk class and associated mortality risk.
Predictor Variable | Points |
---|---|
Age | Age in years |
Male sex | +10 |
Cancer (active or history) | +30 |
Heart failure | +10 |
Chronic lung disease | +10 |
Pulse ≥110 beats/min | +20 |
Systolic blood pressure <100 mmHg | +30 |
Respiratory rate ≥30 breaths/min | +20 |
Temperature <36°C | +20 |
Altered mental status | +60 |
Arterial oxygen saturation <90% | +20 |
The total PESI score is calculated as:
Based on the total score, patients are classified into five risk classes:
Risk Class | Score | 30-Day Mortality Risk |
---|---|---|
Class I (Very low risk) | ≤65 points | 0-1.6% |
Class II (Low risk) | 66-85 points | 1.7-3.5% |
Class III (Intermediate risk) | 86-105 points | 3.2-7.1% |
Class IV (High risk) | 106-125 points | 4.0-11.4% |
Class V (Very high risk) | >125 points | 10.0-24.5% |
For clinical simplicity, patients in Classes I and II are often categorized as "low-risk" (mortality <3.5%), while those in Classes III-V are considered "high-risk" (mortality >3.5%).
The PESI score has important implications for clinical decision-making:
The validation studies of PESI have shown that it accurately identifies patients at low risk for adverse outcomes, with negative predictive values exceeding 99% for the lowest risk categories.
To enhance clinical usability, a simplified version of the PESI (sPESI) was developed in 2010. This simplified version includes only 6 variables instead of the original 11:
Simplified PESI Variable | Points |
---|---|
Age >80 years | 1 |
History of cancer | 1 |
History of chronic cardiopulmonary disease | 1 |
Heart rate ≥110 beats/min | 1 |
Systolic blood pressure <100 mmHg | 1 |
Arterial oxygen saturation <90% | 1 |
The sPESI classifies patients into just two categories:
The equation for calculating sPESI is:
Both scoring systems have shown comparable accuracy in identifying low-risk patients suitable for outpatient management. The choice between PESI and sPESI often depends on clinical setting and preference:
Studies have demonstrated that both scoring systems show similar discriminative power for predicting short-term mortality, though the original PESI may provide more granular risk assessment.
Despite its widespread validation, PESI has several limitations:
Modern PE management often combines PESI with other risk stratification tools:
This multifaceted approach allows for more comprehensive risk stratification and personalized treatment decisions.
For clinical practice, these steps are recommended:
While PESI was originally developed to predict 30-day mortality, research suggests it may also have value for predicting longer-term outcomes. Some studies have found that PESI scores correlate with 6-month and 1-year mortality rates, extending its utility beyond the acute phase of management.
The PESI score represents a valuable clinical tool for risk stratification in acute pulmonary embolism, helping clinicians make informed decisions about the appropriate level of care and treatment strategy. When used alongside clinical judgment and other assessment tools, it contributes significantly to the safe and effective management of patients with this potentially life-threatening condition.
Derivation and validation of a prognostic model for pulmonary embolism. https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/16020800/
Pulmonary embolism: the Pulmonary Embolism Severity Index (PESI) score and mortality predictors. https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/37575526/